GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)


Indicator Release Date Coverage For Actual S&P Consensus
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 3/25 2010-Q4-final 3.1% 3.0%
 
Release Date 6/08 9/08 12/08 3/09 6/09 9/09 12/09 3/10 6/10 9/10 12/10 3/11
Coverage 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10
GDP -0.73 0.60 -4.00 -6.77 -4.87 -0.70 1.60 5.01 3.73 1.72 2.56 2.79
Data display as Q/Q % change at an annualized rate.

Definition: Gross Domestic Product is the broadest measure of economic activity within the nation and is the government's primary source for determining economic growth as an annualized percentage rate. GDP replaced GNP (Gross National Product) in 1991. The main difference between the two is that GDP encompasses all goods and services produced in the United States and GNP encompasses all goods and services produced by U.S. residents but not necessarily within the U.S. GDP is determined using data for Personal Consumption, Government Expenditures, Private Investment, Inventory Growth and The Trade Balance. The report also includes the GDP deflator, a comprehensive indicator of inflation.
Meaning: GDP is the most important indicator of economic activity because of the scope of the data compiled to produce this report. Virtually all other indicators provide information for GDP. Economists and analysts use GDP data to view the overall economy in order to identify and track the economic trends taking place. The initial release of GDP data is known as the advance estimate, which is revised and released one month later as the preliminary estimate. The data goes through a final adjustment for another month and is then released as the revised estimate.
Weight: ****
Source: U.S. Department of Commerce: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Availability: Report released 3-4 weeks following the reference quater
Frequency: Quarterly (revised monthly)
Coverage: 1 Month Lag Factor (Data released in April is for 1Q)
Volatility: Moderate

Impact on the Markets:

Interest Rates: GDP = Interest Rates
GDP = Interest Rates
Fixed-income: GDP = Bond Market
GDP = Bond Market
Equities: GDP = Stock Market
GDP = Stock Market
Dollar: GDP = Dollar
GDP = Dollar
More Information: U.S. Department of Commerce: Bureau of Economic Analysis
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