PERSONAL INCOME AND OUTLAYS


Indicator Release Date Coverage For Actual S&P Consensus
Personal Income & Outlays (Income) 3/28 Feb-11 0.3% 0.4%
Personal Income & Outlays (Outlays) 3/28 Feb-11 0.7% 0.5%
 
Release Date 3/29 5/3 5/28 6/28 8/3 8/30 10/1 11/1 11/24 12/23 1/31 2/28
Coverage Feb 10 Mar 10 Apr 10 May 10 Jun 10 Jul 10 Aug 10 Sep 10 Oct 10 Nov 10 Dec 10 Jan 11
Income 0.10 0.42 0.72 0.44 0.06 0.15 0.45 -0.02 0.49 0.26 0.45 1.04
Outlays 0.46 0.49 -0.02 0.17 -0.02 0.26 0.44 0.25 0.69 0.30 0.50 0.20
Data display as M/M % change

Definition: Personal Income is defined as all compensation individuals receive from all sources including wages, salaries and benefits, income from rent, interest and dividends, as well as Social Security, unemployment and welfare payments. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) or outlays are defined as the dollar amount of all goods and services purchased by consumers. This report also track the savings rate which is defined as disposable income (total income minus taxes) minus outlays.
Meaning: Outlays are the most important part of this report because PCE represents 2/3 of all economic activity (GDP). Consumer Spending is the engine that drives the economy. Income is related to spending, the higher the income growth the stronger the spending and conversely, the weaker the income growth, the slower the spending.
Weight: ***
Source: U.S. Department of Commerce: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Availability: Released 3-4 weeks following the reference month.
Frequency: Monthly
Coverage: Data are for the previous Month (Data for May are released in June)
Volatility: Average

Impact on the Markets:

Interest Rates: Income = Interest Rates
Income = Interest Rates
Outlays = Interest Rates
Outlays = Interest Rates
Fixed-income: Income = Bond Market
Income = Bond Market
Outlays = Bond Market
Outlays = Bond Market
Equities: Income = Stock Market
Income = Stock Market
Outlays = Stock Market
Outlays = Stock Market
Dollar: Income = Dollar
Income = Dollar
Outlays = Dollar
Outlays = Dollar
More Information:
Bureau of Economic Analysis: Press Releases
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